Reading Time: < 1 minute (Jan 31) Read this piece from Shui Pi, a reknown Chinese stock columnist. Quote a paragraph here: 统计表明，2007年中国资本市场融资再融资的规模近8000亿，而印花税为2005亿，两者相加近10000亿，相当于流动市值的十分之一。这笔钱是从市场中拿走的，基本上不可再生。如果2008年的主板融资规模维持不变，那么再加预期中的创业板的融资规模和大非解禁的资金数量，增量资金的需求量就是一个天文数字。2008年的股市有那么乐观吗？He is saying, the transaction cost plus the new IPO last year totaled RMB 1 trillion, which is about 10% of the total market float. (Original) After recent brutal selling of Chinese domestic market, it appears some “blue

Reading Time: < 1 minute I thought about it early Jan. after reading from San Jose Mercury News that VMW is the No. 4 software company, in terms of market capital (about $30 b as of yesterday). But I put down the earning date (Jan 28) on my Google Calendar (not Yahoo), and it did not send out reminder email

Reading Time: < 1 minute I heard about the snow storm in China, and it hurt the “going home crowd” in terms of traffic. The situtation seems much more severe than I thought, from read the blog post from DBANotes and Wang Jianshuo. In recently days the Chinese stock market has dropped a lot too. Similar to the temporature. But

Reading Time: < 1 minute Q&A about housing price in China, by Vanke (000002.SZ) Chairman Wang Shi. He wrote those Q&A in his own blog. I put it together here because it’s a bit hard to read 7 articles separately. I left out couple tables because it’s hard to paste. I’m interested in the Chinese housing for two reasons: 1)

Reading Time: 2 minutes (eBay headquater, Sillicon Vally, 2008, copyright@Shanzi) Who is Meg Whittman? She is the CEO of eBay, and has been in that position for almost ten years, and she is leaving the job on March 31. I don’t personally know her (my friend Wang Jianshuo may have seen her). But from the CNBC show “eBay effect”,

Reading Time: < 1 minute Not so good. iPod growth slowed (finanlly). iPhone can not make up the hole left by iPod. As I read from MarketWatch, while Mac is exploding, but it has one problem: with economy slowing, people won’t blow extra 1000 bucks for Mac (why not just buy a Dell). I think Steve should do everything to

Reading Time: < 1 minute William Ding Lei is the founder, and Chairman of NetEase. He talked a little on the bubble in the stock markets during an interview lately (link here). I shared Ding Lei’s insights because he has been through the full cycle of the stock market: right after NetEase (NTES) came to Nasdaq in 2000, the dot

Reading Time: < 1 minute I waked up at 5:30 this morning, and turned on CNBC. I knew all the markets are down last night, but I am still curious what the US market will look. One of the reporter in Tokyo says all the eyes are on the US Fed (hint a 75 base point cut). I went back

Reading Time: < 1 minute Shui Pi, the editor-in-chief of ChinaTimes, predicted this China drop (or crash) in his paper. Here is the link to his article. Quoted some here: 水皮杂谈：第二次“5·30”的概率有多大 2007年的最后一期水皮杂谈，题目是“何时才能满仓等待暴跌？”，文章缘起和讯的编辑对水皮的采访，其时上证指数在4700点附近，水皮的结论是对于大多数的股票而言，已经错失满仓等待暴跌的机会了。因为绝大多数的股票在11月中旬上证指数单针探底5000点时已经探明了底部，在此后一个月上证指数的反复下探过程中，大多数的股票不但没有随风飘零，反而走上了自己的上升通道。也就是说，“八二”现象其实已经悄悄地在我们身边生成了，最近的统计数据则更能说明问题，沪深两地的上市公司中有60%的股价已经接近6000点时的价位，而深成指和深综指均已接近前期历史高位，中小板指数早就创出新高。

Reading Time: 2 minutes It looks like it. On Monday Jan 21 we have the biggest drop of global stock markets in recent years (see the quoted news below). I want to talk a little about the Chinese market in specific. It appears to me two pieces of news helped driving the market down. The huge secondary offering of