My Q1 2008 grades
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(Update Apr 2) Another news to make myself feel better, Chinese A share mutual funds declined 22% on average (read this Chinese news from Money-Courier). For comparison, Shanghai Composite index dropped about 34%, from 5261.56 to 3472.71 in the period. Note that index is not a good benchmark index because it’s skewed by some big cap stocks such as PetroChina (601857.SS).
(Original Apr 1) I was a decent student in elementary school, but from time to time I did get bad grade in an exam. The tough part for me was getting the report to my mom
The most miserable quarter
I’m sure lots of money managers will share my “most miserable” comments. My little portfolio shrinked about 25.23% from Dec 31, 2007 to March 31, 2008. Thanks to my bone headed bets on LFT and CROX stocks. For comparison: “In the first quarter of 2008, the Dow fell 7.55% and the S&P 500 index lost 9.92%. The Nasdaq was by far the worst performer among major U.S. equity benchmarks in the first three months of the year, dropping 14.07%.” (source: Business Week). To make myself feel slightly better, note GOOG and AAPL dropped about 33% and 25% in the same time period, respectively.
Lesson learned
1) In early Jan. I told my wife I need to unload LFT and CROX, so that I can sleep well in the night. I finanally was able to pull the trigger on them (LFT in Jan and CROX in Feb). A bit too late (CROX went from 75 to 19 in 3 months). But I’m glad I fufilled my words to my wife on this one (see below what if).
2) Trading cost: 7*45 = 315, not significant, but still sizable. Looked at other discount brokers such as TradeKing, IB but have not decided to switch. I will reduce trading times and increase the size of trading (make more sure bets), to reduce the trading cost.
Good things
Finally I was able to get back to In value I trust. I also got back to more solid stocks such as CHL, RIMM, SYT. And I was able to take some profits when I saw opportunity (don’t want be a pig).
What if I hold the all stocks in Dec 31 2007?
One thing for sure, it will be worse.
# shares | share price (Mar. 31, 2008) | subtotal | |
CROX | 170 | 17.47 | 2,969.90 |
LFT | 465 | 18.88 | 8,779.20 |
MR | 236 | 28.94 | 6,829.84 |
Cash (see below) | 1,511.29 |
Total 20,090.23, a 30.99% loss from Dec. 31, 2007 (see below).
My actual portfolio balance 21,768.87 (14,535.81 CHL MR RIMM SYT + 7,233.06 cash) as of Mar. 31, 2008; it was 29,114.01 (27,602.72 CROX LFT MR + 1,511.29 cash) as of Dec. 31, 2007.